Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.114224 1.390297 1.694931 2.052794 2.458481 2.901070 3.417363
2025-02-09 0.636225 0.961962 1.365083 1.885920 2.526672 3.275770 4.204172
2025-02-16 0.365100 0.686632 1.136169 1.772658 2.614561 3.656894 5.011522
2025-02-23 0.221122 0.526162 1.008078 1.749557 2.792187 4.143407 5.964218
2025-03-02 0.124241 0.392883 0.879000 1.692228 2.903479 4.538846 6.812581
2025-03-09 0.082888 0.339024 0.857623 1.781881 3.216227 5.207993 8.035612
2025-03-16 0.046482 0.269322 0.787070 1.777867 3.384433 5.681040 9.010774
2025-03-23 0.031659 0.245128 0.794902 1.900066 3.744830 6.431611 10.379084
2025-03-30 0.019329 0.215179 0.781382 1.979887 4.040029 7.096377 11.645281
2025-04-06 0.009991 0.181255 0.747714 2.015702 4.262955 7.660159 12.782442
2025-04-13 0.003363 0.139155 0.677833 1.970246 4.345526 8.015346 13.631206
2025-04-20 0.001072 0.115985 0.648652 1.998603 4.548819 8.552904 14.746749
2025-04-27 0.000190 0.096990 0.625469 2.038966 4.779858 9.148342 15.973245
2025-05-04 NaN 0.069049 0.557033 1.970395 4.814204 9.441761 16.769991
2025-05-11 NaN 0.047618 0.495100 1.903623 4.843689 9.724946 17.555343
2025-05-18 NaN 0.036003 0.464717 1.905455 4.996992 10.206123 18.641138
2025-05-25 NaN 0.024075 0.418510 1.858060 5.051846 10.528129 19.493337
2025-06-01 NaN 0.021899 0.428899 1.960710 5.400389 11.335063 21.088257
2025-06-08 NaN 0.015676 0.403102 1.960176 5.545294 11.810336 22.187785
2025-06-15 NaN 0.015293 0.423619 2.092646 5.959849 12.739354 23.990858
2025-06-22 NaN 0.013334 0.428079 2.178895 6.284125 13.523895 25.583053
2025-06-29 NaN 0.010293 0.417014 2.217668 6.513029 14.153029 26.945002
2025-07-06 NaN 0.006060 0.379517 2.169466 6.559728 14.475411 27.838000